2020 Election Odds and Predictions, 12th September: Biden Keeps the Lead

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2020 Election Odds and Predictions, 12th September: Biden Keeps the Lead

12 Sep 2020
2020 Election Odds and Predictions, 12th September: Biden Keeps the Lead
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Election Odds and Predictions Update, 12th September 2020

A Joe Biden Victory is being predicted in 6 out of the 7 platforms, while one platform declared a tie between the candidates today.

Today, the prediction platforms have revealed limited shifts to the odds of Joe Biden and Donald Trump. 

The most popular prediction market, predictit, reports that Joe Biden is leading President Trump 59 to 43. Biden has increased by one cent, while Trump has decreased by one.

According to the prediction site bookies.com, Joe Biden is given the lead. He is placed at -121, while Trump is at -100; neither candidates have seen changes in odds today.

Prediction platform oddschecker.com gives Joe Biden odds of 11/13 and Donald Trump odds of 11/10. Neither candidate has seen changes to their odds. 

smarkets.com narrowly expects to have a Joe Biden Presidency, as they give him a 54.4% chance of securing a victory they give Donald Trump a 44.3% chance of winning the election. The candidates have seen no changes to odds today. 

Popular betting platform Bet365 has placed the odds in favor of Joe Biden winning the election. Joe Biden is given odds of 0.83, while Donald Trump is placed at 1. Neither candidate has seen changes to odds today. 

Betting site Betway’s odds reveal that they expect a tie between the candidates. Donald Trump has been placed at 1.85, while Joe Biden is at 1.85. The odds of the candidates remain unchanged today.

Crypto Prediction Markets 

According to FTX Trade, a popular crypto prediction site, Donald Trump’s odds are at 0.44 while Joe Biden is at 0.55. With the higher odds, Biden has the higher chances of winning the presidential election. 


Prediqt states that when the market was asked if Donald Trump will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 Presidential Election, 64% answered yes, while 36% said no. 

 

Both predictit and crowdwisdom360 showed a positive shift towards Biden. The national polls have remained largely unchanged, with a slight Joe Biden decline of one point. The crypto prediction markets have depicted a Joe Biden lead over incumbent President Donald Trump in one platform, and a Donald Trump victory in another one. 

Today the prediction sites have depicted Joe Biden continuing his lead, with very minimal changes to overall odds. The public will have to wait to observe the changes to the odds of the candidates’ odds.

Election Odds and Predictions Update, 11th September 2020

A Joe Biden Victory is being predicted in 6 out of 7 the platforms, while one platform declared a tie between the candidates today. Our own platform along with smarkets and predict showed some losses for Biden but not enough to give President Trump the edge

 

The most popular prediction market, predictit, reports that Joe Biden is leading President Trump 58 to 44. Biden has decreased by one cent, while Trump has not changed.

According to the prediction site bookies.com, Joe Biden is given the lead. He is placed at -121, while Trump is at -100; Biden has improved, while Trump has decreased in chances. 

Prediction platform oddschecker.com gives Joe Biden odds of 11/13 and Donald Trump odds of 11/10. Neither candidate has seen changes to their odds. 

smarkets.com narrowly expects to have a Joe Biden Presidency, as they give him a 54.4% chance of securing a victory they give Donald Trump a 44.3% chance of winning the election. Biden has slightly decreased in odds, while Trump has increased.

Popular betting platform Bet365 has placed the odds in favor of Joe Biden winning the election. Joe Biden is given odds of 0.83, while Donald Trump is placed at 1. Neither candidate has seen changes to odds today. 

Betting site Betway’s odds reveal that they expect a tie between the candidates. Donald Trump has been placed at 1.85, while Joe Biden is at 1.85. The odds of the candidates remain unchanged today.

Google Trends

Joe Biden needs to cover some ground before catching up with where Hillary was on the day before voting day in Wisconsin

In Wisconsin, Trump was 63% vs Hillary Clinton at 37% the day before voting day. Here is how Biden has improved over the last 12 months

Last 12 months, Trump: 85%, Biden: 15%

Last 90 days, Trump: 78%, Biden: 22%

Last 30 days, Trump: 71%, Biden: 29%

Last 7 days, Trump: 74%, Biden: 26%

Joe Biden needs to cover some ground before catching up with where Hillary was on the day before voting day in Pennsylvania

In Wisconsin, Trump was 58% vs Hillary Clinton at 42% the day before voting day. Here is how Biden has improved over the last 12 months

Last 12 months, Trump: 83%, Biden: 17%

Last 90 days, Trump: 77%, Biden: 23%

Last 30 days, Trump: 68%, Biden: 32%

Last 7 days, Trump: 75%, Biden: 25%

This is not a great indicator for Joe Biden

Crypto Prediction Markets 

According to Prediqt, a new crypto prediction site, Donald Trump’s chances are at 60% while Joe Biden is at 40%. As can be seen in the picture below, President Trump's chances have been wildly fluctuating in the month of September

 

The betting platforms revealed minimal to no shifts today, in favor of both Joe Biden and Donald Trump. The national polls have remained largely unchanged, with a slight Joe Biden improvement of 0.5 points.The crypto prediction markets have a Donald Trump victory. Google Trends in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania show that Biden has some way to go before catching up with Hillary Clinton in 2016. This is not a good sign for Biden

Today the prediction sites have depicted Joe Biden continuing his lead, while Donald Trump fluctuates back and forth daily. Every day, the odds seem to shift in a different candidate's favor, seeming to be unpredictable a few weeks before the presidential debates.

By Anusha Mantri

 

Election Odds and Predictions Update, 10th September 2020

A Joe Biden Victory is being predicted in 6 out of 7 of the platforms, while one platform declared a tie between the candidates today. Crowdwisdom360's fantasy game prediction platform which showed Trump marginally ahead until last month now shows Biden ahead. Trump's performance has been quite erratic with some good days and some bad days while Biden has been more steady over the last few days. 

The prediction platforms have revealed significant shifts to the odds of Joe Biden and Donald Trump. 

The most popular prediction market, predictit, reports that Joe Biden is leading President Trump 59 to 44. Biden has increased by one cent, while Trump has decreased by one.

According to the prediction site bookies.com, Joe Biden is given the lead. He is placed at -114, while Trump is at -106, emphasizing a slight improvement for Donald Trump. 

Prediction platform oddschecker.com gives Joe Biden odds of 11/13 and Donald Trump odds of 11/10. Biden has decreased in chances, while Trump has not changed. 

smarkets.com narrowly expects to have a Joe Biden Presidency, as they give him a 55.0% chance of securing a victory they give Donald Trump a 43.5% chance of winning the election. Biden has slightly increased in odds, while Trump has decreased.

Popular betting platform Bet365 has placed the odds in favor of Joe Biden winning the election. Joe Biden is given odds of 0.83, while Donald Trump is placed at 1. Neither candidate has seen changes to odds today. 

Betting site Betway’s odds reveal that they expect a tie between the candidates. Donald Trump has been placed at 1.85, while Joe Biden is at 1.85. The odds of the candidates remain unchanged today.

Crypto Prediction Markets 

According to Prediqt, a new crypto prediction site, Donald Trump’s chances are at 60% while Joe Biden is at 40%. As can be seen in the picture below, President Trump's chances have been wildly fluctuating in the month of September

 

 

Overall, The betting platforms revealed more shifts today, in favor of both Joe Biden and Donald Trump, national polls have remained largely unchanged, with a slight Joe Biden improvement of 0.5 points. Crypto prediction markets show Donald Trump is ahead.

Today the prediction sites have depicted Joe Biden continuing his lead, while Donald Trump fluctuates back and forth daily. Every day, the odds seem to shift in a different candidate's favor, seeming to be unpredictable a few weeks before the presidential debates.

Anusha Mantri

Election Odds and Predictions Update, 9th September 2020

A Joe Biden Victory is being predicted in 5 out of 6 of the platforms, while one platform declared a tie between the candidates today. While Biden is winning on more platforms than yesterday, Trump picked up some momentum again

Today, the prediction platforms have revealed significant shifts to the odds of Joe Biden and Donald Trump. 

The most popular prediction market, predictit, reports that Joe Biden is leading President Trump 58 to 45. Biden has decreased by one cent, while Trump has increased by one.

According to the prediction site bookies.com, Joe Biden has once again taken back his lead. He is placed at -121, while Trump is at -100, emphasizing a rebound for Biden. 

Prediction platform oddschecker.com gives Joe Biden odds of 10/11 and Donald Trump odds of 11/10. Donald Trump has increased in chances, while Biden has not changed. 

smarkets.com narrowly expects to have a Joe Biden Presidency, as they give him a 53.8% chance of securing a victory they give Donald Trump a 46.7% chance of winning the election. Biden has slightly decreased in odds, while Trump has increased.

Popular betting platform Bet365 has placed the odds in favor of Joe Biden winning the election. Joe Biden is given odds of 0.83, while Donald Trump is placed at 1. Neither candidate has seen changes to odds today. 

Betting site Betway’s odds reveal that they expect a tie between the candidates. Donald Trump has been placed at 1.85, while Joe Biden is at 1.85. The odds of the candidates remain unchanged today.

Crypto Prediction Markets 

According to FTX Trade, a popular crypto prediction site, Donald Trump’s odds are at 0.44 while Joe Biden is at 0.55. With the higher odds, Biden has the higher chances of winning the presidential election. 

 

The betting platforms revealed more shifts today, in favor of both Joe Biden and Donald Trump.

The crypto prediction markets have depicted a Joe Biden lead over incumbent President Donald Trump, and have seen very minimal shifts today.

Today the prediction sites have depicted a slight improvement for Trump after his decline yesterday, but Joe Biden still remains in the lead. Biden was also able to take back the lead in bookies.com, which previously predicted that Trump would win the election. As the prediction platforms continue to fluctuate, the public will have to wait to see in whose favor the shifts in odds will occur.

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