Google Search: Gap between NDA and RJD+ collapses in Bihar

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Google Search: Gap between NDA and RJD+ collapses in Bihar

01 Oct 2020
Google Search: Gap between NDA and RJD+ collapses in Bihar
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Crowdwisdom360
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Bihar Election, Google Search: Updated Google Search data shows that the gap between NDA and RJD+ has collapsed in comparison with the election in 2019. Before we show you the chart. A few comments

- Around 25% of Bihar's voting population are online

- In 2019, the vote share gap between NDA and RJD+ amongst the most affluent in Bihar was 16%, amongst the poorest the gap was 24%

- Before 2019, Google Search data predicted 80-90% of elections correctly. Over the last 12 months, this has reduced to about 70%

 

In March 2019, gap between NDA and UPA was +9.8, In March 2020, gap between NDA and UPA is +1.3

What this tells us is that NDA will probably scrape through the election or lose narrowly. But please note that most surveys except ours are showing a comfortable win for NDA. Crowdwisdom360's two surveys show a close batle between the two parties

Opinion Polls in Bihar have missed the final results by wide margins in the last 4 elections

Play Crowdwisdom360's Prediction Game and Win Big. Here are the prices for various predictions at the moment (In Crowdwisdom360 Coins). Higher the price in Coins, higher the probability of the event

JD(U) to win 60 to 75 seats, 73 Coins

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RJD to win 50 to 60 Seats, 64 Coins

BJP to win 75 to 100 Seats, 64 Coins

NDA to win > 160 seats, 54 Coins

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