Israel Opinion Polls 2020 : New poll says Benjamin Netanyahu to lose big

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Israel Opinion Polls 2020 : New poll says Benjamin Netanyahu to lose big

23 Nov 2020
Israel Opinion Polls 2020 : New poll says Benjamin Netanyahu to lose big
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Israel Opinion Polls : A recent opinion poll conducted by Panel Politics an published in Maariv shows Unity Government losing big. As per the poll the government would fall 8 short of majority if elections were held again. Netanyahu's Likud is set to lose big. As per the poll, Likud would win only 27 seats, 9 less than what it won in last election.

Yamina which 5 seats last election ma win 24 seats if elections were held tomorrow.

Israel Opinion Polls : Why is Netanyahu in troubled Water?

Benjamin Netanyahu's decision to form Unity government is gradually back firing for Likud as per the recent polls.

After the 3rd Israel National Election on 2nd March 2020 giving no clear result once again, Prime Benjamin Netanyahu and his rival Benny Gantz agreed on the formation of a national unity government. Under the agreement both Netanyahu and Gantz agreed to power-sharing deal in which both will serve as Prime Minister of Israel for 18 months each.

However, since the formation of Unity Government, things don't look as planned for both PM Netanyahu's party Likud and Benny Gantz's political alliance Blue and White.

In previous election in Israel, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud Party was the single largest party winning 36 seats. Blue and White which then included Yesh Atid-Telem won 31 seats in Knesset. However, after Benny Gantz joined hand hands with Netanyahu, Yesh Atid Telem split from Blue and White and at present Blue and White Alliance headed by Benny Gantz has 14 seats in Knesset.

The Government headed by Benjamin Netanyahu has 72 seats after adding all the small alliances including Blue and White. The latest opinion polls does not show a favorable result for Likud and Netanyahu. Neftali Bennett and Yamina seems to rise at the behest to both Likud and Blue and White part.

Will Bennett unseat Netanyahu to become next Prime of Minister  of Israel?

Let us see what Opinion Polls tell us about current Political situation of Israel.

Israel Opinoin Poll and Latest Political News

Benjamin Netanyahu has started attacking Yamina leader Neftali Bennett as his numbers rise in Opinion polls. As per Times of Israel, Netanyahu opinion about Bennett was that he does not know if Bennett was left or right.

Recently newspaper Israel Hayom reported that Netanyahu believes Gantz is unprepared and unfit to be prime minister at this time, however, Netanyahu’s office denies he called Gantz unfit to be prime minister as per Jerusalem Post.

Opposition’s Lapid says they arewilling to repartner with Gantz — if he’s leader as per Times of Israel.

Blue and White chief says PM must allow coronavirus cabinet to make policy decisions.If Netanyahu doesn’t get a grip, Knesset will disband for new elections.

Israel Opinion Polls : What Changed after April 2020 ?

The political marriage between Netanyahu and Gantz has been on shaky wicket since its formation. Every second day there has been rumors about possible political divorce and initiation of National election once again.

In a recent news post Jerusalem Post reported that Alternate Prime Minister Benny Gantz will soon meet the Prime Minister Netanyahu and inform him about the end of their political partnership.

Benjamin Netanyahu apart from political crisis has been undergoing a investigation regarding a possible corruption during his fourth premiership. The Israel Police began investigating Netanyahu starting in December 2016.

On 21st November 2019, Netanyahu was officially indicted for breach of trust, accepting bribes, and fraud. On 24 May 2020, Netanyahu's trial in the Jerusalem District Court began.

Since forming the Unity Government, there has been widespread protest against his Benjamin Netanyahu. The protesters have been opposing Netanyahu serving as Prime Minister while under indictment on three corruption charges: fraud, breach of trust and accepting bribes.

Not only this, his coalition partners in Government have also threatened to walk out alliance. Recently, a news published in Times of Israel reported that 5 senior law makers of Blue and White would split from and form a new faction and join opposition if Defense Minister Benny Gantz gives in PM Netanyahu's dispute over the state budget.

It must be noted that, the current Unity Government is supposed to pass the State Budget by late December. If in case the government fails to pass the budget, the government will automatically dissolve. There are reports of Netanyahu intentionally stalling the budget so that he can call for snap election in order to avoid the agreed upon transfer of power to Benny Gantz.

What Does the Recent Israel Opinion Polls Says?

The Opinion Polls in Israel have been somewhat accurate in reflecting the mood of common citizens. On 26th May 2020, an opinion poll conducted by Panel Politics just after the formation of Unity Government showed Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud winning 41 seats and Blue and White winning 12 seats.

However, since then, none of the opinion polls have been favorable for Likud and Blue and White. A month back a poll conducted by Direct Politics predicted Likud to win only 31 seats if and Blue and White to win only 7 seats and the Unity government falling short of majority by 7 seats.

In recent opinion polls, things have worsened for Netanyahu and his Unity Government. In recent Opinion poll conducted by Geocartographia and published in i24 News showed Likud losing 8 seats if elections were held today. As per the polls, Likud would win only 28 seats while Blue and White would win 12 seats. The Unity Government would fall short of 4 seats from majority in Knesset.

Yamina which won only 5 seats in last election is headed to make biggest electoral gains. Yamina would win 25 seats if elections are held today.

Israel Opinion Poll : Who is gaining at the cost of Likud ?

The recent opinion polls show that even the coalition of Arab parties, Joint List is losing some seats from what it had won in last election. In last election Joint List won 15 seats and recent opinion polls show that if fourth election is called, Joint List will win 13seats a loss of 2 seats.

At the behest of Likud and other political parties, Yamina a political alliance of right-wing to far-right parties are gaining a lot.

In last election, Yamina had won only 5 seats but recent opinion polls show Yamina winning massive 22 seats.

What Changed for Yamina in last 6 months?

Yamina has been growing stronger in almost every poll held by mainstream media over the past two months. In April 2020 election the leaders of Yamina Bennett and his partner, Knesset member Ayelet Shaked, garnered fewer than 140,000 votes and failed to make it to the Knesset.

However, recent polls show the overnight rise of Yamina and the main reason behind the rise of Yamina is the working of current Unity Government. The recent polls show Yamina winning around 6-8 seats of Likud and also garnering the votes of Blue and White Party.

The polls show that, the people are very much dissatisfied with the way the current government has handled the Coronavirus issue. The increasing joblessness in the country is also a main reason for the rise of Yamina.

After Blue and White Coalition broke and Gantz moved towards Likud, a political vacuum has been created in country. Bennett has taken advantage of it and has been trying to fill up this vacuum and projecting him and his alliance as a possible alternative to the current government.

What will happen if Elections are held today?

As per the recent polls, Yamina is emerging as the second largest alliance in Israel. If elections are held today, Yamina would win 22 seats while Likud would win 28 seats. Other Right Wing Political parties like Shas and United Torah Judaism would win 8 seats each.

If these Right Wing parties come together and form an alliance they would have a robust majority of 66 MKs.

In the opposition would be Yesh-Atid-Telem 17, Joint List 13, Blue and White 11, Yisrael Beytenu 7 and Meretz 6.

However, the above coalitions is just an assumption but if an election is held today, Netanyahu's may not be able to win the same number seats that it won in last election.

Israel Opinion Polls : About Naftali Bennett and Ayelet Shaked

Born in Haifa, Israel, Naftali Bennett is an Israeli Political who led Jewish Home Party from 2012-2018. He currently serves as MK from New Right, a right political party in Israel. He was Minister of Defence from 2019-20.

Ayelet Shaked is a politician, activist, and software engineer. She served as a Member of Knesset  for The Jewish Home from 2013 to 2018, after which she became a member of the New Right. She was Minister of Justice from 2015-1018 and currently she reprents Yamina alliance. In July 2019, New Right leader Naftali Bennett decided to give leadership of the party to Ayelet Shaked when their party failed to make pass the threshold to enter the Kenesset.

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