UK Opinion Polls 2020: Sir Starmer tightens grip over Labour party

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UK Opinion Polls 2020: Sir Starmer tightens grip over Labour party

15 Nov 2020
UK Opinion Polls 2020: Sir Starmer tightens grip over Labour party
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Keir Starmer tightened his grip over the Labour party after candidates allied to him now make up for a working majority in the Labour National Executive Committee (NEC). Those who were elected included -

Those allied to Starmer included - Labour to win - Luke Akehurst, Johanna Baxter and Gurinder Singh Josan, Welsh Labour - Carwyn Jones Open Labour -  Ann Black

Momentum (allied to Jeremy Corbyn)/ Grassroots Voice - Laura Pidcock, Gemma Bolton, Mish Rehman, Jasmine Dar, Ellen Morrison (Disabled), Lara McNeill (Youth)

Read a Detailed analysis and explore the full list here

UK Opinion Poll Summary and Analysis

In the meanwhile the latest opinion polls show that that the Conservatives have maintained a 4 point lead over labour. This is down by 2 points from July 2020 and down from nearly 20 points in March. 

The Tories maintained a 27% points lead versus Labour amongst those who were older than 54 years of age while Labour was ahead 33% amongst those who were younger than 35 years of age. Amongst those in the 35 to 54 age group, Labour was ahead by 4% points.

In the General Election in 2019, Labour trailed by nearly 10% points amongst those in the age group 35 and 54 and more than 35% points amongst those who were older than 54 years of age. 

A lot of the gains for Labour are coming from Liberal party voters and those who did not vote in the 2019 election. 

Labour's fortunes changed after the election of Keir Starmer as the leader of the Labour Party. Most Polls showed Conservatives with a 15 to 20 point lead until Mr. Starmer's election in April. Labour has gained some 11 points since then. Most of the gains have occurred amongst those older than 34 years of age. Mr. Starmer has taken a more non-confrontist approach to politics in the UK with the aim of garnering voters who get turned off by extremist talk. 

Google Trends suggests that Mr. Starmer maintains a lower profile than Jeremy Corbyn but appears to have not anatagonized any voters the way Mr. Corbyn had done over his tenure. 

That said, the biggest challenge for Boris Johnson is the handling of the Coronavirus Pandemic

- Amongst those voted for the Tories in 2019, 46% felt that the Government did a poor job of handling the crisis

- Amongst those who did not vote in 2019, 73% felt that the Government did a poor job of handling the crisis

- 26% of those who voted the Tories in 2019 say that their incomes have been negatively impacted. 

UK Politics Buzz

As expected, Dominic Cummings is leaving 10 Downing Street by Christmas

Keir Starmer regretted his relationship with his late father

 

 

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