Tirupati By Election Opinion Poll: Who will Win the Upcoming By Election?

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Tirupati By Election Opinion Poll: Who will Win the Upcoming By Election?

25 Jan 2021
Tirupati By Election Opinion Poll: Who will Win the Upcoming By Election?
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The latest Tirupati By Election Opinion Poll show YSRCP ahead in race of retaining the seat. As far as BJP-Jana Sena alliance is concerned, recently Jana Sena chief Pawan Kalyan expressed his displeasure with the functioning of alliance at the state level.

Introduction: The by-election to Tirupati Lok Sabha seat will be held in few months. BJP considers this election to be as the foundation of BJP-Jana Sena alliance which it hopes to form government in Andhra Pradesh in 2024 Assembly election.

Tirupati Lok Sabha seat fell vacant when its sitting MP Balli Durga Prasad after being infected by the novel corona virus suffered a cardiac arrest in Chennai hospital and passed away.

Balli Durga Prasad Rao from YSRCP had won a massive 55% voteshare in Lok Sabha 2019 election. TDP Candidate Panabaka Lakshmi was distant second by securing around 38% voteshare. BJP, Congress and BSP had secured lesser votes than NOTA in 2019 election.

As per the latest update by one of the political analyst Upasana Singh, BJP leader Laxman seems confident of NDA’s chances in Tirupati bypoll. BJP is targeting OBCs in Andhra Pradesh to increase its footprint. If NDA candidate comes second in Tirupati it will be a big boost for JSP-BJP.

However, the recent temple incidents have dent the popularity rate of CM Jagan Reddy. His rank has fallen down for this month and now he is at 6th position in the list of Best Chief Minister in India list.

Tirupati By Election Opinion Poll

As per one Platform, RisingHindu.com, YSRCP is poised to win the upcoming Tirupati By-election. BJP-Jana Sena alliance would be able to occupy 2nd position.

For byelection to other Lok Sabha Seats of Belgaum and Kanyakumari, BJP may win Balgaum while Congress may register win in Kanyakumari depending upon their candidate selection. 

It must be remembered that the dates for byelection is yet to be announced and BJP-JSP is yet to declare its candidate for Tirupati bye-election.

Tirupati By Election Opinion Poll : About the Seat

Located in the Chittoor District in the south of Andhra Pradesh, the Tirupati Parliamentary Constituency is reserved for the candidates belonging to the Scheduled Castes. As per the 2019 voter list the total electorate count in the constituency is 1541826.

 As per the estimates of 2011 census, out of total 2134121 population 67.72% is rural and 32.28% is urban population. The Scheduled castes (SC) and Scheduled tribes (ST) ratio is 25.15 and 9.56, respectively out of total population.

Tirupati Election Latest Updates

BJP Andhra Pradesh Chief Somu Veeraju met Jana Sena Chief Pawan Kalyan. He met Pawan Kalyan after Pawan Kalyan expressed his displeasure about the understanding between two parties at the state level.

Opposition parties including TDP and Jana Sena accuse YSRCP of delaying local body election in state. The opposition parties came out in support of State Election Commission notification for local body election.

Nagarjunasagar By election may be held along with Tirupati Lok Sabha by election.

Tirupati By-poll Result To Favour BJP Just As Dubbaka, GHMC Elections: Telangana BJP Chief

Chandrababu Inciting Religious Hatred For Gains In Tirupati Bypolls: Botsa

Jagan Reddy's YSRCP banks upon the welfare schemes run by thier government to deliver win in the upcoming Tirupati Lok Sabha By election. 

Chandrababu Naidu asks his party leaders to take the upcoming Tirupati byelection seriously. It must be remebered that TDP has only 3 seats from AP in Lok Sabha and a win will help them regain the lost trust of people of Andhra Pradesh.

The BJP-Jana Sena to continue their alliance for upcoming Tirupati election. However, Jana Sena has asked for their candidate for the by election as they did get more votes than BJP in last election.

N Chandrababu Naidu, TDP chief and former Chief Minister of Andhra Pradesh says that winning Tirupati By election is historic necessity for his party, TDP.

Tirupati By Election Opinion Poll : What happened in 2019 Lok Sabha Election?

In the 2019 elections, the Yuvajana Sramika Rythu Congress Party (YSRCP) were able to garner 55.03% votes, and was followed by Telugu Desam Party (TDP) with 37.65% votes. It can also be seen that close to 25,000 votes (1.96%) were given to the None of the above. 

In 2019 Lok Sabha election, Andhra Pradesh was one such state where BJP could not open its account. YSRCP won 22 seats while TDP could win only 3 seats.

Tirupati By Election Opinion Poll : How Important is this Election?

BJP has always been referred as the party of north. In states of Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu and Kerala BJP had failed to open its account in 2019. However, since then BJP seems to have itself dedicated to conquer the Southern states of India.

After win in Dubakka by election in Telangana and an impressive performance in Greater Hyderabad Municipal Corporation (GHMC) election, BJP is eyeing Tirupati by election. A win for BJP which may ally with Pawan Kalyan's Jana Sena would mean it entry in politics of Andhra Pradesh where it is considered as non-entity.

For TDP this election will be nothing less than a do or die situation. They have lost the Lok Sabha election as well as Assembly election in Andhra Pradesh very badly. As per rumors many of TDP voters as well the leaders are joining BJP leaving N Chandrababu alone. Win for TDP will revive the party as well as motivate the party cadres for future electoral battle.

The TDP Chief N Chandrababu Naidu has asked the party leaders to take the coming by-elections seriously and work towards ensuring that the party puts up a good fight. Naidu wants the leaders to take up agitations raising the failures of the YSRC government at the state level and unaddressed problems at the local level.

Tirupati By Election Opinion Poll : Who are candidates?

The Telugu Desam Party (TDP) has named four-time MP and former Union Minister Panabaka Lakshmi as its candidate for the seat. Panabaka Lakshmi was the 1st runner up in the 2019 election results. She had attained a vote count of 4,94,501 making it to 37.65% of votes, she lost by close to 2,28,376 votes.

The YSR Congress Party is fielding Dr. Maddila Guru Murthy a physiotherapist close to the Chief Minister Jaganmohan Reddy as its candidate. Deviating from the regular convention followed by the political parties which is to field the heir-apparent or a family member of the incumbent elected representative following the death of Balli Durgaprasad Rao.

The late MP’s family has assured complete support and is standing by the decision of the CM. The YRS Congress is confident of retaining the seat as a result of the number of welfare schemes and initiatives taken up over the past 16 months and its hold of all the seven MLAs within the Lok Sabha constituency under its ranks.

Andhra Pradesh Congress Committee has fielded six-time MP Dr. Chinta Mohan as the party’s candidate.

Fresh from the tremendous performance of the party in Bihar as well as the various by polls across the country, the state unit of the BJP is keen on making its presence felt in the Tirupati Lok Sabha bypolls.

The BJP is forming an alliance with the Jana Sena and will be seen banking on the clean image of the Prime Minister. The BJP’s Rajya Sabha MP GVL Narsimha Rao stated that the development that has happened due to the commitments of the center and the regional parties Telugu Desam Party and the YSR Congress Party have only been trying to grab credit for dividing the state into two.

However, BJP is yet to field its candidate for the upcoming Tirupati Lok Sabha By election. Recently, Jana Sena Chief Pawan Kalyan went to Delhi and met BJP top brass. As per the meeting a committee will be formed who will decide upon who will be contesting the upcoming Tirupati bye election. It must be rembered that Jana Sena did not cotest the GHMC 2020 election and supported BJP candidates. It is expected that a Jana Sena candidate will be contesting the upcoming Tirupati Bye election for BJP-JSP alliance. 

On 8th December, BJP National Secretary Sunil Deodhar had a joint meeting with Jana Sena Chief Pawan Kalyan in Hyderabad. In the meeting as per the official twitter account of Sunil Deodhar :

  1. Several political issues related to Andhra Pradesh were discussed.
  2. Discussions happened over current YSRCP government's apathy towards poor & youth of the state and inefficient handling of many crucial issues.
  3. Guidelines for selection of candidates for the Tirupati Lok Sabha by-poll & MLC polls that are due in the state were also discussed.
Source:  Wikipedia

Tirupati By Election Opinion Poll : Date of Election and Which Party has Edge?

The Tirupati Lok Sabha seat fell vacant on September 16 after the death of sitting YSRCP MP. As per the rules the election to the vacant seat needs to be initiated within 6 months of seat falling vacant. However, election commission is yet to decide on the dates for the upcoming by election for Tirupati seat.

Right from 1952, the Tirupati Lok Sabha Assembly Constituency has been a Congress bastion. It was in 1999 when BJP with the support of TDP for the first time registered win on this seat. From 2004-2014, the seat was again held by Congress.

In 2014, YSRCP managed to win by registering around 48% vote share while BJP was second with almost 45% vote share.

Since 2014, YSRCP has increased its hold over the constituency. In 2019 it increased its voteshare by 7% to 55.03%. As of now YSRCP has momentum and are favorites to win the upcoming by election.

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