Portugal Presidential Election 2020 Opinion Polls : Marcelo to Win Again

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Portugal Presidential Election 2020 Opinion Polls : Marcelo to Win Again

09 Dec 2020
Portugal Presidential Election 2020 Opinion Polls : Marcelo to Win Again
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Portugal Presidential Election 2020 Opinion Polls : The election to elect the new President of Portugal is scheduled on 21st of January 2021. The incumbent president Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa won the Presidential elections in 2016 with a vote percentage of 52%, surviving the 50% plus-one needed to avoid a second-round run off election.

His nearest rival, Professor Antonio Sampaio da Novao got only 22.9% of votes.

Portugal Presidential Election 2020 Opinion Polls : Method of Election

The Presidential term in Portugal is five years. The Elections for electing a President in Portugal's semi-presidential system are by popular vote. If a candidate fails to receive an absolute majority on the first ballot, a runoff election between the two leading candidates is to be held within two weeks.

On the 24th of November, the President of the Republic scheduled the presidential elections for January 24, 2021. Candidacies must be formally submitted to the Constitutional court no later than 30 days before the elections, i.e. December 24, proposed by a minimum of 7500 and a maximum of 15000 voters, and the election campaign will run from 10th to 22nd January.

Under the law, if none of the candidates obtain more than half of the validly cast votes, excluding the blank votes, there will be a second suffrage, 21 days after the first, between the two most voted candidates - in this case, it will be on February 14 .

The next President of the Republic will take office before the Assembly of the Republic on March 9, 2021, the last day of Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa's current five-year term.

Portugal Presidential Election 2020 Opinion Polls : What happened in Last Presidential Election?

In 2015 election to elect the new Portuguese President was held on 24 January 2016. The election was held to replace the incumbent President  Aníbal Cavaco Silva who was constitutionally not allowed to run for the third term.

Social Democratic Party or Partido Social Democrata's candidate Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa won the absolute majority by securing 52% of votes while his rival Antonio Sampaio da Novao who is a professor at the Faculty of Psychology and Education Sciences of the University of Lisbon came distant second with just 23% of voteshare. He ran for presidential election as an independent candidate.

Portuguese Left Bloc or Bloco de Esquerda's candidate secured 10.1% of voteshare and was distant 3rd.

Portugal Presidential Election 2020 : Who are the Candidates?

With de Sousa’s re-election announcement, there are already nine pre-candidates for the race scheduled for January 24, 2021.

The nine candidates are:

1.     Ana Gomes – diplomat and former Socialist Party MEP (2004-2019)

2.     Andre Ventura – CHEGA (CH) leader

3.     Bruno Fialho – Democratic Republican Party (PDR) leader

4.     Joao Ferreira – Portuguese Communist Party (PCP) candidate, MEP since 2009

5.     Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa – President of the Republic since 2016

6.     Marisa Matias – Left Bloc (BE) MEP (since 2009); presidential candidate in 2016, polled third place with 10% of the votes

7.     Orlando Cruz – former People’s Party member

8.     Tiago Mayan Goncalves – Liberal Initiative (IL) candidate

9.     Vitorino Silva (Tino de Rans), React, Include, Recycle (RIR) leader; presidential candidate in 2016, polled 6th place with 3.3% of the votes.

Portugal Presidential Election 2020 Opinion Polls

Several Opinion polls have been conducted in run up for the Presidential election of 2021. The incumbent President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa enjoys a very high preferential rating as of now.

A Opinion poll conducted by Aximage in November 2020 show that Marcelo is set to return as President once again. As per the poll the current if the elections were held today, the current President would receive 62.1% of voteshare, 10% more than what he received in last election.

As per the poll, the closest rival, an independent candidate Ana Maria Rosa would receive just about 16% vote share.

Another poll conducted by Eurosondagem between16-19 November show similar trend. As per them the Current president will win the election with absolute majority. As per them, the ruling party will get around 63% voteshare if the elections were held today.

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