The 2022 Uttarakhand Assembly election will decide if state continue with its trend of flipping the incumbent government or retain the incumbent government. The current term of Assembly in Uttarakhand will end on 23rd March 2022.
After coming to power BJP parliamentary board decided to make Member of Legislative Assembly from Doiwala,Trivendra Singh Rawat as the Chief Minister of the state. However, after four years, due to unpopularity of Trivendra Singh Rawat BJP parliamentary board decided to change the guard. Tirath Singh Rawat, Member of Parliament from Garhwal constituency was made Chief Minister of Uttarakhand.
Since then there has been rumours of BJP being ousted out of power in upcoming Uttarakhand election in 2022.
Uttarakhand Assembly Election Opinion Poll: Result of 2017 Assembly Election
The 2017 Uttarakhand Assembly electionsaw the return of BJP to power after five years. The state went in for election along with states of Uttar Pradesh and Punjab. BJP won Uttarakhand and Uttar Pradesh while it lost its power in state of Punjab. SAD and BJP alliance had been in power in Punjab since 2012.
Of 70 seats assembly seats, the Bhartiya Janata Party won 57 seats and the Congress could win only 11 seats. Two seats were won by the independents.
In 2017 Assembly election BJP got 46.5% vote share while incumbent Congress got 33.5% vote share.\
Uttarakhand Assembly Election : Latest News
The Hindu: Centre sends 80 metric tonnes of oxygen to Uttarakhand
Hindustan Times: Uttarakhand, Haryana, Bihar now among states with highest Covid-19 deaths, active cases
Indian Express: Cloudburst hits Devprayag in Uttarakhand, no one injured
India TV: Uttarakhand govt, Patanjali Yogpeeth start 140-bed Covid hospital in Haridwar
India Today: Uttarakhand universities, colleges to remain closed amid Covid-19 surge
Uttarakhand Assembly Election Opinion Poll: 2017 Opinion Polls?
The Opinion Polls for the Uttarakhand Assembly election 2017 were on the mark. Almost all the pollsters predicted victory for Bhartiya Janata Party. However, the polling agency failed to predict the number as they underestimated BJP’s performance and overestimated Congress’ performance.
On 05 January 2017, Uttarakhand Post predicted a win for incumbent Congress in state. It was the only polling agency that predicted a win Congress. As per the poll BJP was predicted to win 29 seats while it gave Congress 36 seats. Others were predicted to win 5 seats.
On 10 January 2017, ABP - Lokniti predicted a simple majority for Bhartiya Janata Party in 70 member Uttarakhand assembly. As per the poll BJP was projected to win 39 seats, Congress to win 31 seats.
On 05 January 2017, India Today - Axis predicted an easy win for BJP in the state. As per the poll Bhartiya Janata Party was predicted to win 44 seats, Congress 21 seats and others 4 seats.
The final result of 2017 Uttarakhand Assembly election was BJP 57, Congress 11 and Others 2.
Uttarakhand Assembly Election Opinion Poll: What did the Exit Polls Predicted for 2017 Assembly Election?
Most of the exit polls in 2017 predicted BJP’s win, however, except Today's Chanakya none of the exit polls predicted BJP winning more than 50 seats.
The exit poll number of India Today - Axis were: Bhartiya Janata Party 46 seats, Congress 21 seats and others 3 seats.
C- Voter: Bhartiya Janata Party to win 33 seats, Congress 32 seats, others 5 seats.
Today's Chanakya: Bhartiya Janata Party 53 seats, Congress 15 seats and others 2 seats.
CSDS: Bhartiya Janata Party 42 seats, Congress 23 seats and others 5 seats.
Uttarakhand Assembly Election Opinion Poll: What Happened in Lok Sabha Election 2019?
The 2019 Lok Sabha election gave a massive mandate to BJP. BJP won all the 5 Lok Sabha seats. Not only this BJP got 61.01% vote share in 2019 Lok Sabha election.
Congress failed to open their account and they could garner 31.4% vote share.
Of 70 Assembly segments of the state, BJP was ahead in 65 Assembly segments while Congress was ahead in just 5 assembly segments.
Uttarakhand Assembly Election Opinion Poll:: What Changed since Lok Sabha 2019 in Uttarakhand?
The upcoming Uttarakhand Assembly election is set to see a three-cornered fight this time. Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party is set to try its luck in state. There are news of AAP making a good inroad in Himalayan state.
The change of Chief Minister by Bhartiya Janata Party just a year before assembly elections have given both Congress and AAP a weapon which they will be hoping to use against the ruling BJP.
Uttarakhand Assembly Election 2022 Opinion Poll
Crowdwisdom360 is yet to conduct its opinion for the upcoming Uttarakhand Assembly election. However, on 18th March 2021 ABP-C Voters released their Uttarakhand Election opinion poll. As per the poll, BJP is set to lose its grip from the state.
The poll predicted a win for Congress in state. As per the poll, BJP’s voteshare in state is expected to see a decline of -8.2% as compared to 2017 polls. Congress may gain 2.3% in their vote share while AAP may make some inroads in state.
According to the poll, Congress may win 35 seats, BJP may win 27 seats, BSP may win 2 seats while AAP may win 5 seats in the state.