The richest corporation in India, BMC or Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation will go in for polls in 2022. For ruling Shiv Sena it will be the litmus test, the party has ruled the Corporation for over two decades and it was in 2017 when its supremacy over the Corporation was threatened by BJP. In 2017 Shiv Sena and BJP contested the election separately and the result gave a fractured mandate with Shiv Sena emerging as largest party yet missing on numbers required to rule the Corporation.
Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation BMC Election 2022 Opinion Polls: What Happened in 2017 BMC Election?
BMC has a total of 227 seats and for majority a party need to win 114 seats. In 2017, BJP and Shiv Sena both contested separately. Shiv Sena-BJP alliance have been ruling BMC for over two decades. Resources diverted in pandemic, BMC took longer to address civic complaints in 2020-21: ReportHowever, in 2017 both the parties contested on their own. None of the parties were able to gain mandate in 227 seats BMC. Shiv Sena with 84 seats emerged as the single largest party with BJP at second with 82 seats. Congress was decimated and could managed to win only 31 seats while NCP won 9 seats. Raj Thackeray's MNS managed to win 7.
After the election, BJP supported Shiv Sena and therefore, Sena was able to retain the Mayoral post with BJP's support.
Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation BMC Election 2022 Opinion Polls: What Changed in Maharashtra Politics since 2017?
The political dynamics of Maharashtra has undergone the biggest change. In 2019 when Maharashtra Assembly election was held, the election was more about alliance than one single party.
BJP, Shiv Sena and Ramdas Athawale’s RPI(A) were on one side while Congress and NCP formed the alliance to take on BJP lead NDA alliance in Maharashtra. The result of the election was in favour of BJP lead alliance as the alliance won 160 seats in 288 member Maharashtra Assembly. However, despite having majority, NDA could not rule the state once again as Shiv Sena broke the alliance and formed a new Maha Vikas Agadi (MVA) with NCP and Congress.
After the election, BJP despite being the single largest party with 104 seats had to sit in opposition in Maharashtra Assembly. Recently BJP was able to increase its MLA tally in Maharashtra assembly to 105 after the party successfully won Pandharpur By-election defeating NCP candidate who was supported by rest of the two parties of MVA.
Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation BMC Election 2022 Opinion Polls: Why BMC election is important for both BJP and Shiv Sena?
Since Shiv Sena formed government in Maharashtra with the support of Congress and Sharad Pawar’s NCP, there has been rumours of collapse of government from very first day. Despite having number of differences, the MVA government have been in power in Maharashtra for over a year now. However, in words of many political pundits, the BMC election of 2022 may decide the fate of MVA government in Maharashtra.
In 2019 when BJP pulled out its support from the BMC government, Shiv Sena was able to retain the Mayoral seat as BJP decided not to contest the Mayoral election. However, in 2022 for Shiv Sena BMC election is nothing less than a litmus test. Win for Sena or MVA would result in Shiv Sena gaining more trust and support of its alliance partner. A loss in election or if Sena fails to win good number of seats in BMC election in 2022, it would lead to BJP getting an opportunity to destabilise the MVA government.
After Sena broke away ties with BJP, there has been news of BJP losing on to Marathi support in the state. However, the party has tried to maintain the balance by heeding some back door support from Raj Thackeray’s MNS. A win for BJP in BMC election 2022 would lead to BJP emerging as the most powerful party not just in Mumbai but in entire Maharashtra. If BJP wins the election, it may explore ways to regain the throne of Maharashtra. A loss would prove to be a biggest set back for party in the state.
Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation BMC Election 2022 Opinion Polls: What is the latest News about BMC election?
The upcoming BMC election may not be as what we are seeing in Maharashtra politics today. Recently one of the alliance partner of MVA, Congress issued a statement that the party will be contesting all the 227 seats of BMC alone and it will not require the support of Shiv Sena.
With respect to NCP, Sena spokesperson Sanjay Raut issued a statement that Shiv Sena and NCP will be contesting the BMC election in an alliance. NCP had won only 9 seats in last BMC election.
BJP on the other hand hasn’t issued any news about it contesting alone or will it form an alliance with MNS or other regional parties.
Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation BMC Election 2022 Opinion Polls: When will the election be held and what does the Opinion polls say?
BMC election is expected to be held between May 2021 to May 2022. The Brihanmumbai Municipal Corporation BMC Election 2022 Opinion Polls has not been conducted by any agency as of now.
Crowdwisdom360 will be publishing its numbers for the election once it conducts the poll.