Assembly Elections 2022 Predictions for Each State

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Assembly Elections 2022 Predictions for Each State

27 May 2021
Assembly Elections 2022 Predictions for Each State
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States of Goa, Punjab, Uttarakhand and Uttar Pradesh will go in for polls in first half of 2022. Here are the Assembly election predictions for the respective states.

In the first half of 2022, four states, Goa, Punjab, Uttarakhand and Uttar Pradesh will go in for polls. In 2017 except for Punjab, BJP formed its government in rest of three state. This time due to the ongoing pandemic it will be a challenge for BJP to return to power as it will be contesting the assembly election defending its five years of governance.

In last assembly election, states of Punjab, Uttarakhand and Uttar Pradesh gave absolute majority to the winning party while a Goa threw a hung assembly and BJP with the help of regional powers formed government in state. We have launched a prediction game for respective state. Participate in the game and predict the outcome of the election for the respective states.

Goa Assembly elections Prediction

Goa is the smallest state among all other states going into polls next year, the winning margin between two parties has also been small. Goa is basically divided into two parts North and South. While the BJP is strong in North Goa, the Congress is stronger in South Goa. Last time Goa gave a hung assembly with BJP with the help of smaller parties like GFP and MGP formed its government in the state.

This time around chances is high that BJP might retain Goa. The main reason behind it could be the popularity of incumbent CM Pramod Sawant and the recent municipal and local body election where BJP performed much better than Congress. However, it must be noted that for BJP to form government in state this time it needs to win nothing less than 18-19 seats. In last election it had won 13 seats and with support of MGP, GFP and independents it formed its government. This time GFP is in UPA camp while MGP has withdrawn its support from NDA. Therefore, do you think BJP will form its government in Goa?

Congress in last election had won 17 seats, just 4 seats short of majority. If Congress manages to repeat the similar feat even in the upcoming election, it may be easy for Congress to form its government. Therefore, do you think Congress will form its government in Government in Goa?

Punjab Assembly elections Predictions

The only state where Congress is sure of returning to power is the state of Punjab despite high rate of anti-incumbency against Capt. Amrinder Singh. He is among those CMs in the country who had been very unpopular for handling the COVID 2nd wave and recent tussle with his party men Navjot Singh Siddhu is expected to dent Congress in state.

However, the ongoing Farmer Protest and anti-BJP feeling among the large sect of Punjab population may help Capt. Amrinder Singh form its government easily in the state. However, a poll released by ABP-C -Voter showed Aam Aadmi Party ahead of Congress in the state. Therefore, do you think Congress will the upcoming Punjab election?

Uttarakhand Assembly elections Predictions

The turf of Uttarakhand would be the toughest for BJP to retain because of many factors. First, the changing of CM in a year before polls have given the opposition a tool to target BJP. Secondly, the COVID handling by the state government has not been in good books of people. Thirdly, Uttarakhand is known for changing government after every five years. Therefore, it is expected the state to follow similar trend even this time. Thus, do you think BJP will be able to form its government in the state once again?  

In a recent opinion poll by ABP News-CVoter, if polls were held in the state, Congress could form the government in Uttarakhand with 38 seats and BJP could be restricted to 28 seats. AAP and BSP could play the spoiler if they cut some BJP vote banks than it will be easier for Congress to reach the majority mark of 36. So, do you think Congress will be able to unseat BJP in the state?

Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections Predictions

Uttar Pradesh election will be the one of the biggest political battle of 2022. Winning Uttar Pradesh is must for BJP as the state paves way for 7 Lok Kalyan Marg. As of now, Congress, SP and RLD may come together to fight against BJP while Mayawati’s BSP will be contesting on its own. In last assembly election BJP had won over 300 seats in the state, so do you think BJP will get more than 300 seats in state even this time?

Yogi Adityanath government has been in news since it came to power. His governance has been appreciated as well as criticized. So do you think BJP may not win 300 seats but will have somewhere around 270-280 seats which will help them retain the state or do you think BJP may fail to form the government and win less than 200 seats?

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