COVID-19, at current rate US Could hit 50K by end of March

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COVID-19, at current rate US Could hit 50K by end of March

22 Mar 2020
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By 

Mohal Joshi @MohalJosh

Updated modelling of COVID-19 "projected case growth" for USA & India based on existing data for the past few days. 

Here is the "future projection" for COVID-19 cases in the USA. Actual number of 3804 is very close to my "projected number" of 3854. This mean growth in cases continues at current pace (no slowdown yet). 
 

Note: "Future projected" values are in black color/white font

ImageImage

Here is the "future projection" for COVID-19 cases in the India. Actual number of 110 is very close to "projected number" of 107. This mean growth in cases continues at current pace (no slowdown yet)
Note: "Future projected" values are in black color/white font

Image

4 Note: As "social distancing"occurs in these nations as movement of people is restricted voluntarily or by government enforced measures these rates should taper off. However when this happens is yet to be seen in case of either nation. 

 

This thread originally appeard here

https://twitter.com/MohalJoshi/status/1239416566032117761

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