Germany vs Spain Predictions and Betting Analysis

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Germany vs Spain Predictions and Betting Analysis

20 Nov 2020
Germany vs Spain Predictions and Betting Analysis
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Germany vs Spain Predictions and Betting

Two European footballing giants, Germany and Spain face each other in the opener of the UEFA nations league tournament, Group 4 encounter on 3rd September.

The UEFA Nations League is an elite competition, where top countries from Europe compete to bag the top honour of winning the Nations League trophy. Portugal are the current champions of the title after winning the inaugural event in 2018-2019 against Netherlands in the finals.

Germany had a poor record in the inaugural UEFA Nations League held in 2018. They were unable to win a single match in group stages, losing two and drawing the remaining two matches.

Germany vs Spain Soccer Predictions and Betting Summary

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Smarkets gives Germany a small edge at 40% vs Spain at 32% (3rd September)

Oddschecker has given Germany 6/4 odds of winning the game, they have given Spain 41/20 odds of winning the game (3rd September)

Bet365 has given Germany 11/8 odds of winning the game, they have given Spain 19/10 odds of winning the game (3rd September)

Footballpredictions.com predicts Germany to win 2-1 in this game

Germany vs Spain Soccer Predictions and Betting : Recent Performance

Germany had a decent run of matches having won 4 of the last 5 matches. They lost one match to a strong Netherlands side. Spain on the other hand, has been in good form in last 5 matches having won 3 and drawing 2 games.

Germany vs Spain Soccer Predictions and Betting : Stats and Team News

Spain is managed by the successful former Barcelona manager Luis Enrique and his introduction has brought about a great attacking flair to the team. Spain has scored a mind-blowing 18 goals in the last 5 games,

  • 7 past Malta
  • 5 past Romania

Their defence has looked strong as well, conceding only two goals in the last 5 games. Mikel Oyarzabal is out of the squad due to covid infection, so is Adama Traore

Germany, on the other hand have scored 17 goals in their last 5 games while conceding only 2 times in the process. Longtime coach Joachim Löw has managed to turn things around after their abysmal World Cup campaign in 2018. Germany will be without its key Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig players –Joshua Kimmich, Leon Goretzka, Manuel Neuer, Serge Gnabry, Lukas Klostermann and Marcel Halstenberg.

Germany vs Spain Soccer Predictions and Betting : Offensive and Defensive Stats

The German forward consists of young Timo Werner who has been recently transferred to English Premier League team, Chelsea. He is known for his passing accuracy and has a decent Goal scoring frequency in the domestic leagues (see table below)

Timo Werner will be supported by young Leroy Sane. Sane has played 33 matches in Bundesliga 2019-20 season and has scored 8 goals.

Spanish Rodrigo and Gerrard Moreno will be matching the German forwards. Overall, Germany appears to have a statistical edge when it comes to forward attack

(Statistics are from domestic leagues this season)

image 35

Young Kai Havertz will be assisting Toni Kroos in the German midfield. Kai have played 5 matches for Germany this year and have scored 4 goals. He along with Toni Kroos will be a lethal combination and a great support to German strikers.

The combination of Haverts, Kroos, Brandt and Gundogan provides a solid mid-field combination to German team.

The Spanish forwards will be assisted by the midfielders Manchester City star Rodri and Óscar Rodríguez. Thiago Alcantara isone of the most important players for Spain. Thiago forms the heart of the midfield for Spain and every move flows through him.

Overall, Germany appears to have an edge in the Mid-field but the battle between Thiago and Kroos could decide the fate of the game.

image 37

The German Defence will depend upon experienced Matthias Ginter who has been solid in defence and has also been able to score goals. Robin Koch is the other strongman in German defence. He has 100% Dribble success per game in this year season.

Along with Niklas Sule, who though have played less game has 100% Dribble success, and Thilo Kehrer provides a strong wall of defence.

Spanish Defence looks comprises of Ramos and Gaya along with Jesus Navas. The defence appears to be evenly balanced.

Germany vs Spain Soccer Predictions and Betting : Head to Head Stats

Germany and Spain have played against each other 23 times, with the German side having a slight advantage over the Spanish.

  • Germany has won 9 times
  • Spain has won 7 times
  • 7 matches have ended up in a draw

Their last match against each other was a friendly in 2018 that ended in a 1-1 draw. 

Germany vs Spain Soccer Predictions and Betting Analysis

Germany and Spain look equally matched going into the match, so let’s take a look at the predictions and odds for this match. 

Fctables.com is predicting a German victory, giving them a 38% chance of securing victory, whereas the Spanish side is given a 32% of a victory. A draw is predicted at 28%. Playing at home in Germany is also a factor tilting the tie towards the Germans.

As per betting platform Bet365, a German victory is placed at 2.37 whereas a Spanish victory is placed at 3.0, and a draw at 3.30.

Betzoid gives the German side slight advantage over the Spain. Germany’s win in the match is placed at 2.38 while the betting odds for Spain stands at 3 as per Betzoid.

Bettingexpert gives its tips top bet for Germany at Unibet for odds standing 2.55. For Spain, bettingexpert suggests a bet a Bet365 for 3.05.

Buzz

Leroy Sane and Niklas Sule will start for Germany. Kevin Trapp will be on Goal with Robin Gosens in defence. Germany will be playing with 3 in the defence. 

Niklas Sule believes that Die Mannschaft can replicate the success of Bayern Munich and win the UEFA Nations league

Nearly 75% of German fans believe that the Nation’s league must be scrapped.

Spain’s coach Luis Enrique could play many young players in the coming nation’s league matchs – Sergio Reguilon, Ferran Torres and Ansu Fati could all make their senior international debuts for La Roja in their Nations League matches this month.In the meanwhile, Germany’s coach Joachim Low suggested that Spain have moved away from their tiki-taka style of play.

Overall, looking at the recent performances, both Germany and Spain are equally poised to win the upcoming encounter between the two European giants. However, the prediction and betting platforms are giving Germany slight edge over Spain as of now with a better defence and slightly more efficient midfield. But this could go down to the wire as key German stars are missing this game after having being rested after the Champions league.

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