Israel Election 2021 Opinion Poll: Likud 29 seats, New Hope 16, Yamina 13

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Israel Election 2021 Opinion Poll: Likud 29 seats, New Hope 16, Yamina 13

13 Jan 2021
 Israel Election 2021 Opinion Poll: Likud 29 seats, New Hope 16, Yamina 13
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The latest Israel Election Opinion Poll released by Channel 12 show the lead of Likud declining. As per the poll Likud may win 29 seats, New Hope 16, Yamina 13, Yesh Atid 13, Joint List 10 seats.

Opinion Polls for the 2021 Israeli legislative Election: Latest Updates

On Tuesday, 22nd December, the parliament of Israel failed to pass the budget in a stipulated deadline and as a result Benjamin Netanyahu led Unity Government collapsed. Israel now heads for 4th election in 2 years and the 4th snap election is scheduled to take place in March 2021.

Israel's longest serving Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu may not find it easy to make a way out for himself this time. The opinion polls indicate a huge loss for his Likud party. 

As the Israel election is approaching many politicians are trying their luck and launching their own political parties. On 29th December Tel Aviv Mayor Ron Huldai launched his own political outfit, The Israelis. The new opinion poll published by Channel 12on 12th January show Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud winning  29 seats, New Hope may win 16 seats, Yamina 13 seats and the Israelis may win 6 seats.

Benny Gantz's Blue and White party may win only 5 seats if elections were held today.

Here is the chronological order of Opinion Polls Published after the formation of Gideon Sa'ar's New Hope - Unity for Israel political party.

The opinion poll released by Channel 12 on 12th January shows Likud loosing the lead the it had gained as per the the last poll released by Channel 13. New Polls show Likud winning 29 seats, 6 less than what it has currently, New Hope 16 seats 13 more than current seats, Yamina 13 and Joint List 10 seats.

The latest opinion poll launched by Channel 13 on 8th of January 2021 show Likud winning  31 seats, New Hope may win 16 seats, Yamina 13 seats and the Israelis may win 5 seats.

The new opinion poll published by Channel 13 on 5th January, 2021 show Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud winning only 27 seats, New Hope may win 18 seats, Yamina 14 seats and the Israelis may win 6 seats.

Israel Election Opinion Polls published on Channel 12 on 15th December indicates tough days for Benjamin Netanyahu and his Likud party. As per the polls the current Likud would win only 27 MKs if the elections were held today. Yamina which was gaining in multiple opinion polls seems to be losing as per the recent polls. The polls show Yamina would win only 14 MKs down from 24 MKs as predicted in the month of November.

New Hope politcial party formed by former Likud MK and former minister Gideon Sa'ar on 8 December 2020 seems to gaining big from both Likud and Yamina. The poll predicts New Hope would win 20 MKs as of now. 

Another poll conducted by Panel Politics too show the similar result. As per them, Likud would win 27, Blue and White 6, Yamina 13 and New Hope 21 MKs.

Now more trouble seems to mount for Benjamin Netanyahu and his Likud Party. On 23rd December Likud Minister Ze'ev Elkin and MK Sharren Haskel join New Hope. This comes as shocker for Bibi after Gideon Sa'ar broke away from Likud and formed a new party "New Hope".

An opinion poll was released on 24th December two days after the parliament was dissolved and fresh election was called for. As per the new opinion poll released by 103FM and poll conducted by Panel Politics, Likud is slated to win only 25MKs, 10 less than what it had won in last election.

The new rival of Benjamin Netanyahu, Gideon Sa'ar and his political party New Hope may win 22 MKs. Yamina which is a far right political  alliance in Israel may win 15 seats as per the poll.

The alliance with Likud seems to be costing Benny Gantz and his party Blue and White a lot. If polls are held today Blue and White could win only 4 seats, down from 14 seats that it had in last election. 

The poll published by Maariv on 25th December show Likud winning 26 seats, Blue and White 4 and New Hope 21 seats.

The latest opinion poll published on 30th December by 103fm shows Likud winning 26 seats, Blue and White 4 seats, New Hope 17, Yamina 13 and The Israelis 8 seats.

The polls published by Maariv on 31st December show Likud at 29 seats, Yamina at 13 seats, New Hope may win 17 and the Israelis may win 8 seats.


Opinion Polls for the 2021 Israeli legislative Election: Why is Netanyahu in troubled Water?

Benjamin Netanyahu's decision to form Unity government is gradually back firing for Likud as per the recent polls.

After the 3rd Israel National Election on 2nd March 2020 giving no clear result once again, Prime Benjamin Netanyahu and his rival Benny Gantz agreed on the formation of a national unity government. Under the agreement both Netanyahu and Gantz agreed to power-sharing deal in which both will serve as Prime Minister of Israel for 18 months each.

However, since the formation of Unity Government, things don't look as planned for both PM Netanyahu's party Likud and Benny Gantz's political alliance Blue and White.

In previous election in Israel, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud Party was the single largest party winning 36 seats. Blue and White which then included Yesh Atid-Telem won 31 seats in Knesset. However, after Benny Gantz joined hand hands with Netanyahu, Yesh Atid Telem split from Blue and White and at present Blue and White Alliance headed by Benny Gantz has 14 seats in Knesset.

The Government headed by Benjamin Netanyahu has 72 seats after adding all the small alliances including Blue and White. The latest opinion polls does not show a favorable result for Likud and Netanyahu. Neftali Bennett and Yamina seems to rise at the behest to both Likud and Blue and White part.

Yamina headed by Neftali Bennett seems to gain a lot, that is from previous 5 seats to now 22 seats. Even Benny Gantz's Blue and White Party would be lose couple of seats that is from previous 14 seats to current 10 seats.

Now after Netanyahu led government failed to pass the budget, the government collapsed and fresh election has been called which will be held in March 2021. The opinion polls which has been almost correct in Israel are predicting a rout for Benjamin Netanyahu and his political front Likud.

Opinion Polls for the 2021 Israeli legislative Election and Latest Political News

Netanyahu said rushed to secure room at residence during recent anti-PM protest

Four political parties conspire against Netanyahu by signing vote deals.

 

Israel Beiteinu and Yesh Atid have signed a vote-sharing agreement.

On the heels of the Yamina-New Hope VSA earlier today, analysts are saying this is a coordinated effort between the four to box Netanyahu out.

I don't disagree; signing this early is very, very unusual. https://t.co/JGyC2KcLeG

— Israeli Elections Live (@IsraelexLive) January 4, 2021

As per the latest survey, 40% of Israelis blame Benjamin Netanyahu for pushing Israel in to 4th election in 2 years while 18% blame Defense Minister Benny Gantz for it. 

Israel to hold fourth election in two years as political crisis grinds on

Why Israel Faces a Fourth  Election in Just Two Years

In latest development, Yesh Atid's MK Ofer Shelah announced that he is quitting the party and will be floating his own political outfit.

Opinion Polls for the 2021 Israeli legislative Election : What Changed after April 2020 ?

The political marriage between Netanyahu and Gantz headed for a divorce within few months. Every second day after the coalition was stitched there were rumors about possible political divorce and initiation of National election once again.

Benjamin Netanyahu apart from political crisis has been undergoing a investigation regarding a possible corruption during his fourth premiership. The Israel Police began investigating Netanyahu starting in December 2016.

On 21st November 2019, Netanyahu was officially indicted for breach of trust, accepting bribes, and fraud. On 24 May 2020, Netanyahu's trial in the Jerusalem District Court began.

Since forming the Unity Government, there has been widespread protest against his Benjamin Netanyahu. The protesters have been opposing Netanyahu serving as Prime Minister while under indictment on three corruption charges: fraud, breach of trust and accepting bribes.

Not only this, his coalition partners in Government have also been threatening to walk out alliance. It must be noted that, the current Unity Government was supposed to pass the State Budget by late December. However, the government failed to do so within the stipulated deadline and the Unity government collapsed forcing one more election upon the citizens of Israel in 2 years.

Latest Israel Election Opinion Polls

31st December 2020: Likud 29, New Hope 17, Yamina 13, Yesh Atid Telem 14 seats, Joint List 11, Shas 9, UTJ 7, Yisrael Beiteinu 7, Labor 3, Meretz 3.

The latest opinion poll published on 30th December by 103fm shows Likud winning 26 seats, Blue and White 4 seats, New Hope 17, Yamina 13 and The Israelis 8 seats.

Latest Opinion poll released by Maariv and conducted by Panel Politics on 25th December 2020 after Yesh Atid's MK Ofer Shelah left the party and announced the formation of his own party show Likud the party led by Benjamin Netanyahu on back foot. As per the poll, if elections were held today Likud would win only 26 MKs 10 less than what it had won in last election. 

New Hope may 21 seats and Yamina may win 14 seats if polls were held today. Benny Gantz's Blue and White party which had 14 MKs after last election may just be able to send 4 MKs to Knesset this time.

Opinion Poll published on Channel 12 on 15th December show Likud would win only 27 MKs if the elections were held today. The polls show Yamina would win only 14 MKs down from 24 MKs as predicted in the month of November.

New Hope political party formed by former Likud MK and former minister Gideon Sa'ar on 8 December 2020 seems to gaining big from both Likud and Yamina. The poll predicts New Hope would win 20 MKs as of now. 

Another poll conducted by Panel Politics too show the similar result. As per them, Likud would win 27, Blue and White 6, Yamina 13 and New Hope 21 MKs.

A poll published by Channel 13 on 2nd December indicates tough days for Benjamin Netanyahu and his Likud party. As per the polls the current Unity Government would win only 53 seats if elections were held now. Likud would be able to win only 29 seats on its own.

Yamina headed by Neftali Bennett seems to gain a lot, that is from previous 5 seats to now 22 seats. Even Benny Gantz's Blue and White Party would be lose couple of seats that is from previous 14 seats to current 10 seats.

The Opinion Polls in Israel have been somewhat accurate in reflecting the mood of common citizens. On 26th May 2020, an opinion poll conducted by Panel Politics just after the formation of Unity Government showed Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud winning 41 seats and Blue and White winning 12 seats.

Israel Opinion Poll : Who is gaining at the cost of Likud ?

The recent opinion polls show that even the coalition of Arab parties, Joint List is losing some seats from what it had won in last election. In last election Joint List won 15 seats and recent opinion polls show that if fourth election is called, Joint List will win 11 seats a loss of 4 seats.

At the behest of Likud and other political parties, Yamina a political alliance of right-wing to far-right parties was gaining a lot initially however, recent opinion poll show a New Hope gaining at the behest of Likud and Blue and White Party.

What will happen if Elections are held today?

As per the recent polls, New Hope would emerge as the second largest party behind Likud which would win 27 MKs 9 less than what it had won in last election.

New Hope's Gideon Sa'ar would be the Kingmaker or the King himself if the elections are held today.

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