Kerala Local Body Election 2020 Result: Ruling LDF Leads with UDF in 2nd

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Kerala Local Body Election 2020 Result: Ruling LDF Leads with UDF in 2nd

13 Mar 2021
Kerala Local Body Election 2020 Result: Ruling LDF Leads with UDF in 2nd
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Kerala Local Body Election 2020 Result: The counting of Kerala Local Body election 2020 is still in process but as of now it is clear that the left alliance, LDF has been successful in maintaining its grip over the people of Kerala despite having a debacle in Lok Sabha election. 

The Congress lead UDF is distant second and have lost most of it strong holds while BJP lead NDA have been able to make inroads in state to some extent.

Here is the  Kerala Local body election Result as of 6:30 PM:

NOTE: The results here are not the Final result. It is just the lead of each Party/alliance

Gram Panchayats (Total : 941)

LDF: 514  UDF : 377 NDA: 22 Others: 28

Block Panchayat (Total 152)

LDF : 108 UDF : 44

Corporations (Total 6)

LDF : 3 UDF : 3

Municipalities ( Total 86)

LDF: 35 UDF: 45 NDA: 2 Others: 4

District Panchayats (Total 14)

LDF 10  UDF : 4

Kerala Local Body Election 2020 Exit Poll:

BJP to win first Corporation in Kerala. Thiruvananthapuram set to be first break through for BJP in Left domintated state.

As per the psephologist Savyasachi, these are these are the forecast for the Kerala Local Body election 2020:

VOTE SHARE in Percentage

UDF-36 (+/- 1)

LDF-35 (+/-1)

NDA-17 (+/-1)

OTH-12 (+/-1)

TOTAL WARDS (21865)

UDF-9700 (+/-500)

LDF-8600 (+/-500)

NDA-2200 (+/-250)

OTH-1400 (+/-200)

CORPORATIONS

THIRUVANANTHAPURAM

NDA-36-43

LDF-26-33

UDF-23-30

OTH-01-03

GRAMA PANCHAYATS

UDF- 440-480

LDF- 410-450

NDA-30-51

OTH-01

GRAMA PANCHAYAT WARDS

UDF- 6500-7000

LDF- 5700-6200

NDA-1500-1800

OTH-1000-1200

BLOCK PANCHAYATS

UDF-74-83

LDF-69-76

NDA-00-02

BLOCK PANCHAYAT DIVISIONS

UDF-950-1100

 

LDF-850-1000

NDA-65-100

OTH-30-55

DISTRICT PANCHAYAT

UDF-6-9

LDF-5-7

NDA-0-1

DISTRICT PANCHAYAT DIVISIONS

UDF-150-175

LDF-135-160

NDA-05-09

MUNICIPALITIES

UDF-43-50

LDF-33-42

NDA-01-04

MUNICIPAL WARDS

UDF-1300-1450

LDF-1050-1200

NDA-320-400

OTH-230-280

When will the Kerala Local Body Election 2020 take Place?

The election to the local bodies of Kerala was originally scheduled for October,2002. However, due to Coronavirus pandemic the dates were extended. The voting for Kerala Local Body is scheduled in three phases. The first phase is scheduled on December 8, second on December 10 and third on December 14.

The votes will be counted on 16th of December.

Kerala Local Body Election 2020 : Latest Update

BJP has never been a force in Kerala politics but recent political victory in southern state of Telangana has charged up up the BJP cadres in rest of Southern states particularly in Telangana, Kerala and Tamil Nadu.

As for Kerela Local Body election is concerned, BJP is very much serious about capturing the Thiruvananthapuram corporation. It must be remembered that Thiruvananthapuram corporation is the largest urban body Kerala by area and population. It has 100 wards  which covers atleast 4 assembly seats of the state. 

The Thiruvananthapuram Corporation has been ruled by CPM-led LDF for the past 15 years but in 2015 the corporation witnessed the phenomenal rise of BJP, which won 34 wards, up from four in the 2010 election. Congress led UDF came 3rd while LDF won 42 wards. In 2020 BJP is looking forward to capturing the post of Mayor in the Thiruvananthapuram corporation. As per one of the political analyst, Manoj Shenoy, NDA is poised to be the largest alliance with around 42-46 wards. LDF may win 31-35 wards while UDF may win 22-26 wards.

Major takeaways of 1st Phase of Kerala Local Body Election as per a Kerala based psephologist Savyasachi are

  • NDA is doing well in Thiruvananthapuram Corporation, though the fight is close it may become Single Largest Party.
  • UDF is causing some unexpected damage to both LDF and NDA is  some wards of Thiruvananthapuram Corporation.
  • In TVM Corporation, NDA doing well in Neyyattinkara, Attingal, Nedumangad Municipalities. They may do well also in Varkala
  • In Kollam Corporation, LDF is set to retain it with NDA making its presence felt.
  • In Pathanamthittha, UDF seems to be ahaed and may retain the Corporation.
  • In Alappuzha, LDF is ahead as of now. NDA is doing well in Mavelikkara municipality where they may even snatch it from LDF.

Major takeaways from 2nd Phase of Kerala Local Body Election as per a Kerala based psephologist Savyasachi are

  • UPF to gain in Thrissur in 2nd Phase.
  • LDF may see some jolts, they had swept the district in last election.
  • In Thrissur Corporation, UDF to gain at the cost of LDF.
  • NDA is giving a good fight in over 25 wards. In last election NDA had won 6 corporation.
  • In Thrissur Municipalities, UDF is expected to do well while LDF may get few set backs.
  • NDA is hoping to win Kodungallur municipality.
  • In Ernakulam Corporation, LDF may face some losses due to NDA, Rebels and the Independents.
  • In Ernakulam UDF is performing extremely well.LDF is trying ot minimise the loss.
  • In Ernakulam Panchayats, NDA have made the fight triangular. UDF is expected to do very well here.
  • In Kottayam, LDF is expected to make gains,  while NDA may do  well in Ettumanoor, Kottayam, Changanassery,. Pala, Vaikom and Eerattupetta.
  • In Kottayam Panchayats,LDF will do well while UDF may hold on to its vote share.
  • In Palakkad, UDF has an edge in municipalities while NDA may perform well in Ottapalam, Shornur municipalities.
  • The Palakkad Panchayats which have been Left bastion seems to be falling, UDF is expected to make inroads here.
  • In Wayanad, UDF is strong. However, close fight between UDF and LDF is expected.

Which districts will go in for polls in Upcoming Kerala Local Body Election?

All the 14 districts of Kerala will see the voting in upcoming local body election. A total of 2.71 crore voters will exercise their voting rights in around 35,000 polling booth.

In first phase, the districts Thiruvananthapuram, Kollam, Pathanamthitta, Alappuzha and Idukki will go for the polling.

In second phase people from districts Ernakulum, Kottayam, Thrissur, Palakkad and Wayanad will exercise their voting rights.

In final phase Mallppuram, Kozhikode, Kannur and Kasaragod will go in for polls.

In three phases a total of 1199 Local bodies will go in for polls. In these local bodies, 15,962 wards in 941 village panchayats, 2080 seats in 152 block panchayats, 331 seats in 14 district panchayats, 3078 wards in 86 municipalities and 414 wards in 6 municipal corporations are the seats that the parties will be looking to win.

Kerala Local Body Election 2020 Opinion Poll: Which Political Parties are Contesting?

Kerala politics have always been dominated by Left backed LDF or Congress backed UDF. BJP backed NDA have been trying to make inroads in the state but have always failed.

Kerala local body bye-elections: LDF wins 22 of 44 seats, Congress-led UDF  gets 17

This time BJP is trying to turn the election to the local bodies into a triangular fight. It must be noted that in local body election many seats are won by the independents too.

BJP which hopes to win Trivandrum and Thrissur Municipal Corporations have fielded a record number of minority candidates for this election. BJP has fielded 612 minority candidates which includes 112 Muslims to counter the LDF and UDF Muslim base and 500 Christians in a bid to consolidate the Hindus and Christians. 

In this election, 50% of seats are reserved for women. BJP has fielded 10,000 women candidate for this election.2 Muslim women to contest for BJP in Malappuram - The Hindu

Kerala Local Body Election 2020: What happened in Last Election?

In 2015, LDF won more than half of all gram panchayats and municipalities. Both LDF and UDF won majorities in seven out of fourteen district panchayats each.

LDF won two corporations, UDF won one, and the remaining three had no overall majority.

NDA on the other hand won 14 Gram Panchayat, 1 Block Panchayat and 1 Municipality.

Taking about vote share, LDF got 37.36% vote share, UDF got 37.23% and NDA got 13.28% vote share.

Will BJP be able to make inroads Kerala and Tamil Nadu in 2021 or will be still called the party of North?

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